Angus Williams

Angus Williams

Data scientist with an interest in Bayesian statistics and probabilistic programming.

Premier league 2020/21 predictions

This page contains predictions for each set of fixtures in the Premier League for the 2020/21 season. The predictions are produced automatically on a weekly basis. More recent predictions appear at the top of the page. The numbers in the tables are probabilities.

Predictions made on 2021-01-15

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2021-01-16 Wolves West Brom 0.65 0.12 0.22
2021-01-16 Leeds Brighton 0.37 0.35 0.28
2021-01-16 West Ham Burnley 0.45 0.28 0.27
2021-01-16 Fulham Chelsea 0.14 0.65 0.21
2021-01-16 Leicester Southampton 0.55 0.21 0.24
2021-01-17 Sheffield United Tottenham 0.17 0.59 0.24
2021-01-17 Liverpool Man United 0.56 0.21 0.22
2021-01-17 Man City Crystal Palace 0.79 0.07 0.14
2021-01-18 Arsenal Newcastle 0.54 0.2 0.26
2021-01-19 West Ham West Brom 0.62 0.15 0.23
2021-01-19 Leicester Chelsea 0.38 0.36 0.26
2021-01-20 Man City Aston Villa 0.77 0.08 0.15
2021-01-20 Fulham Man United 0.13 0.67 0.2
2021-01-21 Liverpool Burnley 0.76 0.08 0.16

Predictions made on 2021-01-08

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2021-01-12 Sheffield United Newcastle 0.34 0.36 0.31
2021-01-12 Burnley Man United 0.21 0.54 0.25
2021-01-12 Wolves Everton 0.4 0.32 0.28
2021-01-13 Man City Brighton 0.78 0.08 0.15
2021-01-13 Aston Villa Tottenham 0.21 0.55 0.24
2021-01-14 Arsenal Crystal Palace 0.58 0.18 0.25

Predictions made on 2021-01-01

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2021-01-01 Everton West Ham 0.49 0.25 0.26
2021-01-01 Man United Aston Villa 0.64 0.15 0.21
2021-01-02 Tottenham Leeds 0.69 0.12 0.19
2021-01-02 Crystal Palace Sheffield United 0.39 0.29 0.32
2021-01-02 Brighton Wolves 0.3 0.4 0.29
2021-01-02 West Brom Arsenal 0.15 0.6 0.24
2021-01-03 Burnley Fulham 0.52 0.21 0.27
2021-01-03 Newcastle Leicester 0.26 0.48 0.27
2021-01-03 Chelsea Man City 0.29 0.46 0.25
2021-01-04 Southampton Liverpool 0.15 0.64 0.2

Predictions made on 2020-12-25

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-12-26 Leicester Man United 0.36 0.38 0.26
2020-12-26 Aston Villa Crystal Palace 0.43 0.29 0.29
2020-12-26 Fulham Southampton 0.24 0.49 0.27
2020-12-26 Arsenal Chelsea 0.33 0.41 0.27
2020-12-26 Man City Newcastle 0.76 0.08 0.16
2020-12-26 Sheffield United Everton 0.27 0.44 0.29
2020-12-27 Leeds Burnley 0.34 0.37 0.28
2020-12-27 West Ham Brighton 0.44 0.29 0.27
2020-12-27 Liverpool West Brom 0.89 0.03 0.08
2020-12-27 Wolves Tottenham 0.27 0.46 0.26
2020-12-28 Crystal Palace Leicester 0.23 0.5 0.26
2020-12-28 Chelsea Aston Villa 0.65 0.15 0.21
2020-12-28 Everton Man City 0.2 0.58 0.22
2020-12-29 Brighton Arsenal 0.27 0.45 0.28
2020-12-29 Burnley Sheffield United 0.43 0.27 0.3
2020-12-29 Southampton West Ham 0.43 0.3 0.26
2020-12-29 West Brom Leeds 0.3 0.4 0.29
2020-12-29 Man United Wolves 0.55 0.21 0.24
2020-12-30 Tottenham Fulham 0.77 0.08 0.16
2020-12-30 Newcastle Liverpool 0.13 0.67 0.2

Predictions made on 2020-12-18

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-12-19 Crystal Palace Liverpool 0.13 0.67 0.2
2020-12-19 Southampton Man City 0.15 0.65 0.2
2020-12-19 Everton Arsenal 0.38 0.35 0.27
2020-12-19 Newcastle Fulham 0.54 0.19 0.26
2020-12-20 Brighton Sheffield United 0.41 0.29 0.3
2020-12-20 Tottenham Leicester 0.5 0.25 0.25
2020-12-20 Man United Leeds 0.7 0.11 0.19
2020-12-20 West Brom Aston Villa 0.27 0.45 0.28
2020-12-21 Burnley Wolves 0.31 0.4 0.29
2020-12-21 Chelsea West Ham 0.62 0.16 0.21

Predictions made on 2020-12-11

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-12-11 Leeds West Ham 0.31 0.42 0.27
2020-12-12 Wolves Aston Villa 0.52 0.22 0.25
2020-12-12 Newcastle West Brom 0.56 0.17 0.26
2020-12-12 Man United Man City 0.28 0.48 0.24
2020-12-12 Everton Chelsea 0.28 0.47 0.26
2020-12-13 Southampton Sheffield United 0.45 0.27 0.28
2020-12-13 Crystal Palace Tottenham 0.19 0.57 0.24
2020-12-13 Fulham Liverpool 0.07 0.8 0.13
2020-12-13 Arsenal Burnley 0.56 0.19 0.24
2020-12-13 Leicester Brighton 0.57 0.19 0.24
2020-12-15 Wolves Chelsea 0.28 0.45 0.26
2020-12-15 Man City West Brom 0.88 0.03 0.08
2020-12-16 Arsenal Southampton 0.54 0.22 0.24
2020-12-16 Leeds Newcastle 0.3 0.41 0.29
2020-12-16 Leicester Everton 0.49 0.26 0.25
2020-12-16 Fulham Brighton 0.27 0.44 0.28
2020-12-16 Liverpool Tottenham 0.55 0.23 0.22
2020-12-16 West Ham Crystal Palace 0.44 0.28 0.27
2020-12-17 Aston Villa Burnley 0.4 0.32 0.28
2020-12-17 Sheffield United Man United 0.2 0.55 0.25

Predictions made on 2020-12-04

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-12-05 Burnley Everton 0.32 0.4 0.28
2020-12-05 Man City Fulham 0.89 0.03 0.08
2020-12-05 West Ham Man United 0.25 0.51 0.24
2020-12-05 Chelsea Leeds 0.72 0.1 0.18
2020-12-06 West Brom Crystal Palace 0.27 0.41 0.31
2020-12-06 Sheffield United Leicester 0.25 0.48 0.27
2020-12-06 Tottenham Arsenal 0.51 0.25 0.24
2020-12-06 Liverpool Wolves 0.67 0.14 0.19
2020-12-07 Brighton Southampton 0.37 0.34 0.28

Predictions made on 2020-11-27

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-11-27 Crystal Palace Newcastle 0.36 0.33 0.31
2020-11-28 Brighton Liverpool 0.13 0.67 0.19
2020-11-28 Man City Burnley 0.78 0.08 0.14
2020-11-28 Everton Leeds 0.6 0.17 0.23
2020-11-28 West Brom Sheffield United 0.27 0.42 0.31
2020-11-29 Southampton Man United 0.24 0.51 0.25
2020-11-29 Chelsea Tottenham 0.42 0.33 0.25
2020-11-29 Arsenal Wolves 0.47 0.27 0.26
2020-11-30 Leicester Fulham 0.72 0.1 0.18
2020-11-30 West Ham Aston Villa 0.47 0.28 0.26

Predictions made on 2020-11-20

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-11-21 Newcastle Chelsea 0.22 0.52 0.25
2020-11-21 Aston Villa Brighton 0.4 0.32 0.28
2020-11-21 Tottenham Man City 0.3 0.47 0.23
2020-11-21 Man United West Brom 0.76 0.08 0.16
2020-11-22 Fulham Everton 0.2 0.56 0.25
2020-11-22 Sheffield United West Ham 0.37 0.34 0.29
2020-11-22 Leeds Arsenal 0.2 0.56 0.24
2020-11-22 Liverpool Leicester 0.62 0.18 0.2
2020-11-23 Burnley Crystal Palace 0.41 0.3 0.3
2020-11-23 Wolves Southampton 0.49 0.25 0.26

Predictions made on 2020-11-06

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-11-06 Brighton Burnley 0.39 0.32 0.29
2020-11-06 Southampton Newcastle 0.4 0.32 0.29
2020-11-07 Everton Man United 0.31 0.44 0.26
2020-11-07 Crystal Palace Leeds 0.45 0.25 0.3
2020-11-07 Chelsea Sheffield United 0.62 0.15 0.23
2020-11-07 West Ham Fulham 0.61 0.17 0.23
2020-11-08 West Brom Tottenham 0.11 0.7 0.19
2020-11-08 Leicester Wolves 0.47 0.27 0.26
2020-11-08 Man City Liverpool 0.48 0.29 0.22
2020-11-08 Arsenal Aston Villa 0.62 0.17 0.22

Predictions made on 2020-10-30

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-10-30 Wolves Crystal Palace 0.51 0.22 0.28
2020-10-31 Sheffield United Man City 0.13 0.67 0.2
2020-10-31 Burnley Chelsea 0.23 0.52 0.25
2020-10-31 Liverpool West Ham 0.77 0.09 0.14
2020-11-01 Aston Villa Southampton 0.38 0.34 0.28
2020-11-01 Newcastle Everton 0.34 0.38 0.28
2020-11-01 Man United Arsenal 0.48 0.27 0.24
2020-11-01 Tottenham Brighton 0.66 0.14 0.2
2020-11-02 Fulham West Brom 0.39 0.3 0.3
2020-11-02 Leeds Leicester 0.2 0.54 0.26

Predictions made on 2020-10-23

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-10-23 Aston Villa Leeds 0.48 0.24 0.28
2020-10-24 West Ham Man City 0.14 0.69 0.17
2020-10-24 Fulham Crystal Palace 0.27 0.43 0.3
2020-10-24 Man United Chelsea 0.43 0.32 0.25
2020-10-24 Liverpool Sheffield United 0.76 0.08 0.16
2020-10-25 Southampton Everton 0.33 0.4 0.28
2020-10-25 Wolves Newcastle 0.49 0.24 0.27
2020-10-25 Arsenal Leicester 0.44 0.31 0.25
2020-10-26 Brighton West Brom 0.54 0.19 0.27
2020-10-26 Burnley Tottenham 0.21 0.55 0.24

Predictions made on 2020-10-16

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-10-17 Everton Liverpool 0.21 0.57 0.22
2020-10-17 Chelsea Southampton 0.63 0.15 0.22
2020-10-17 Man City Arsenal 0.68 0.14 0.18
2020-10-17 Newcastle Man United 0.25 0.49 0.26
2020-10-18 Sheffield United Fulham 0.54 0.18 0.27
2020-10-18 Crystal Palace Brighton 0.38 0.31 0.31
2020-10-18 Tottenham West Ham 0.68 0.14 0.19
2020-10-18 Leicester Aston Villa 0.61 0.16 0.22
2020-10-19 West Brom Burnley 0.26 0.45 0.29
2020-10-19 Leeds Wolves 0.24 0.49 0.27

Predictions made on 2020-10-02

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-10-03 Chelsea Crystal Palace 0.62 0.15 0.23
2020-10-03 Everton Brighton 0.5 0.23 0.27
2020-10-03 Leeds Man City 0.08 0.78 0.14
2020-10-03 Newcastle Burnley 0.4 0.3 0.3
2020-10-04 Leicester West Ham 0.63 0.16 0.21
2020-10-04 Southampton West Brom 0.59 0.17 0.25
2020-10-04 Arsenal Sheffield United 0.57 0.18 0.24
2020-10-04 Wolves Fulham 0.7 0.11 0.19
2020-10-04 Man United Tottenham 0.43 0.32 0.25
2020-10-04 Aston Villa Liverpool 0.11 0.72 0.18

Predictions made on 2020-09-25

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-09-26 Brighton Man United 0.21 0.53 0.26
2020-09-26 Crystal Palace Everton 0.32 0.39 0.3
2020-09-26 West Brom Chelsea 0.1 0.71 0.19
2020-09-26 Burnley Southampton 0.43 0.29 0.29
2020-09-27 Sheffield United Leeds 0.51 0.2 0.29
2020-09-27 Tottenham Newcastle 0.65 0.14 0.21
2020-09-27 Man City Leicester 0.67 0.14 0.19
2020-09-27 West Ham Wolves 0.3 0.44 0.26
2020-09-28 Fulham Aston Villa 0.28 0.44 0.28
2020-09-28 Liverpool Arsenal 0.67 0.14 0.19

Predictions made on 2020-09-18

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-09-19 Everton West Brom 0.67 0.11 0.22
2020-09-19 Leeds Fulham 0.46 0.24 0.3
2020-09-19 Man United Crystal Palace 0.65 0.13 0.22
2020-09-19 Arsenal West Ham 0.64 0.16 0.2
2020-09-20 Southampton Tottenham 0.21 0.54 0.25
2020-09-20 Newcastle Brighton 0.44 0.26 0.3
2020-09-20 Chelsea Liverpool 0.31 0.45 0.25
2020-09-20 Leicester Burnley 0.57 0.18 0.25
2020-09-21 Aston Villa Sheffield United 0.35 0.34 0.31
2020-09-21 Wolves Man City 0.19 0.58 0.23

Predictions made on 2020-09-11

Date Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
2020-09-12 Fulham Arsenal 0.15 0.63 0.22
2020-09-12 Crystal Palace Southampton 0.39 0.29 0.32
2020-09-12 Liverpool Leeds 0.86 0.04 0.1
2020-09-12 West Ham Newcastle 0.41 0.31 0.28
2020-09-13 West Brom Leicester 0.15 0.6 0.25
2020-09-13 Tottenham Everton 0.6 0.17 0.23
2020-09-14 Sheffield United Wolves 0.31 0.38 0.32
2020-09-14 Brighton Chelsea 0.22 0.51 0.27