Recent Posts

How should we compare models?

15 minute read

At various points in the past few years I have had discussions or debates with friends and colleagues about model comparison in the context of Bayesian infer...

World cup redux

less than 1 minute read

Now that the group stages are over, here are the probabilities that the remaining teams will win the world cup: Team Probability of win...

Who will win the rugby world cup?

7 minute read

The men’s rugby union world cup is just starting1, so I thought it would be fun to make some predictions before the tournament gets going. The plan is to bui...

Tracking my fitness

9 minute read

I like to go running, and I also like to see how I’m doing by using the Strava app. It’s satisfying to see progress over time if I’m training for an event. ...